Decatur Central
Boys - Girls
2019 - 2020 - 2021
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State Rank #157
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #44
Ben Davis Regional Rank #11
Ben Davis Sectional Rank #11
Most Likely Finish 9th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Triton Early Bird Indian Creek Invitational Mooresville Invitational Franklin Invitational Bishop Chatard Invitational THSB State Preview Jon Mitchell Invitational Golden Spike Invitational Mid State Conference Marion County Ben Davis Sectional Ben Davis Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
Date 8/17 8/22 8/25 8/29 9/2 9/5 9/12 9/19 9/26 10/3 10/10 10/17 10/24
Team Rating 1,192 1,356 1,206 1,263 1,268 1,232 1,318 1,253 1,190 1,143
Team Adjusted Rating 1,048 1,206 1,263 1,268 1,232 1,318 1,253 1,190 1,143
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Triton Early Bird Indian Creek Invitational Mooresville Invitational Franklin Invitational Bishop Chatard Invitational THSB State Preview Jon Mitchell Invitational Golden Spike Invitational Mid State Conference Marion County Ben Davis Sectional Ben Davis Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
289  Ayva Schmalz 11 20:38 20:55 20:41 20:27 20:42 20:40 20:45 20:16 20:39 20:36 20:34 21:23 20:38 20:26
1,081  Madeline Wachnicki 12 22:45 22:24 21:59 22:38 22:34 23:02 22:46 22:42 24:00 23:25 22:25 22:22
1,263  Emma Carroll 11 23:09 22:45 23:21 23:56 23:03 23:14 23:01 22:45 23:11
Areli Paz Labastida 12 24:48 25:09 25:56 25:32 25:11 24:54 25:30 25:22 26:04 25:23 25:38 24:58 24:23
Serena Williams 12 25:25 26:58 27:17 26:52 26:32 25:46 26:28 25:43 25:12 24:59
Lorena Williams 12 26:38 22:14 27:16 26:42 26:21 27:07 27:01
Bailee Kennedy 9 32:18 32:34 32:59 31:26 31:37 33:01 32:30 31:43 32:55




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 100% 9.4 235 4.8 55.0 40.2
Sectionals 100% 5.0 130 96.4 3.6



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.




Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ayva Schmalz 100% 88.2 100.0% 100.0%
Madeline Wachnicki 0.1% 164.0 0.1% 0.1%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ayva Schmalz 100% 19.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.4 2.7 3.8 5.2 6.8 8.3 9.3 9.7 9.2 8.8 7.8 6.8 5.1 4.0 100.0%
Madeline Wachnicki 100% 52.4 100.0%
Emma Carroll 100% 59.7 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ayva Schmalz 10.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 2.3 6.8 10.0 15.9 37.7 25.4 0.8 0.2 0.1
Madeline Wachnicki 20.2 0.0 0.2 0.6 4.0 16.2 23.7 24.4 13.7 7.2 4.5 2.5
Emma Carroll 23.7 0.1 0.9 2.9 7.9 14.7 14.3 12.9 11.8